Will this cycle enter an economic expansion phase without a recession? 🤔

in H4LAB Research6 days ago

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Source: FRED

When 10y - 3m yield spread recovered from minus to plus, usually, recessions happened. It should have occured last Q4, approximately. It's weird 😕


Today, I checked this data in the morning. And I thought the U.S. economy entered an expansion phase rather than a recession? 🤔


The crypto market rebounded a bit last night. Trump says that the U.S.-Iran war ends in coming days. I look forward to it 🙏